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No Quid Quo Pro in Trump’s Chat With Ukraine? Read On

Before President Trump’s conversation with Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was released, he said to reporters that it was a “perfect conversation”. Half a dozen separate video clips — chopper talk, at his desk — had him saying over and over that it was “perfect”.

Who ever thinks of conversations as “perfect” (or imperfect)? It made one think that his aides, prepping him for the call, which we are told is routine, had coached him not to make any mention of the funds release being contingent on Zelenskyy agreeing to investigate Biden, that he must be extremely careful not to suggest any quid pro quo. So when Trump came away from the call without having made that slip, his celebratory mood had him calling the call “perfect”.

That equipped Republicans in the hallways of Congress and Fox News hosts to say, as did Tucker Carlson,

“It says none of the things the news anchors claimed it would. Read it for yourself. It’s online. Try to find the extortion in there. There isn’t any. Trump never even mentions military aid.

To pretend there was nothing extortionist there for lack of its mention is textbook phony willful ignorance. Let’s break down the conversation:

It covered only two subjects: Military aid to Ukraine brought up by Zelenskyy, and Trump’s concern only for investigating Biden and his server theory.

First Zelenskyy wisely flattered Trump, knowing how important that is to this president:

…and a new type of government. You are a great teacher for us and in that

Trump then sets up an obligation:


…but the United States has been very good to Ukraine. I wouldn’t say that it’s reciprocal necessarily because things are happening that are not good but the United States has been very very good to Ukraine.

Zelenskyy obligingly thanked Trump profusely so as then to get to Ukraine’s most important point as a vulnerable nation being chewed up by Russia:

I would also like to thank you for your great support in the area of defense. We are ready to continue to cooperate for the next steps specifically we are almost ready to buy more Javelins from the United States for defense purposes.

That was the last word about Ukraine’s defense despite how eager Trump is to tout weapon sales to the likes of Saudi Arabia and other countries, because Trump had only one thing in mind:

I would like you to do us a favor though

The use of “though” has been pointed out, as in English meaning there’s a condition attached for those Javelins. Trump at this point had ordered the holdup of funds, and “though” intimates that they depend. He continued:

I would like to have the Attorney General call you or your people and I would like you to get to the bottom of it. As you saw yesterday, that whole nonsense ended with a very poor performance by a man named Robert Mueller, an incompetent performance, but they say a lot of it started with Ukraine. Whatever you can do, it’s very importanmt that you do it if that’s possible.

“Whatever you can do, it’s very important that you do it…”, he says. What could be clearer? Giuliani is no stranger to Ukraine, so Zelenskyy knows what’s coming:

I will personally tell you that one of my assistants spoke with Mr. Giuliani just recently and we are hoping very much that Mr. Giuliani will be able to travel to Ukraine and we will meet once he comes to Ukraine.

Trump makes plain that Zelenskyy will be guided in his promised investigation:

I will ask him to call you along with the Attorney General. Rudy very much knows what’s happening and he is a very capable guy. If you could speak to him that would be great.

And Trump lays out what Zelenksyy is to look into and what Trump already thinks he should find:

The other thing, There’s a lot of talk about Biden’s son, that Biden stopped the prosecution and a lot of people want to find out about that so whatever you can do with the Attorney General would be great. Biden went around bragging that he stopped the prosecution so it you can look into it… It sounds horrible to me.

Zelenskyy indicates that the next prosecutor will know what’s expected:

…the next prosecutor general will be 100% my person, my candidate, who will be approved by the parliament and will start as a new prosecutor in September. He or she will look into the situation, specifically to the company that you mentioned in this issue.

Trump making sure once again:

I will have Mr. Giuliani give you a call and I am also going to have Attorney General Barr call and we will get to the bottom of it. I’m sure you will figure it out.

The hapless Zelenskyy, desperate for those funds, knows how to put a cherry on top before saying “Bye, bye”:

Actually last time I traveled to the United States, I stayed in New York near Central Park and I stayed at the Trump Tower.

That was it. When the whistleblower complaint became known, Trump would claim that he held up the $400 million allocated for Ukraine’s defense until government and oligarchical corruption was rooted out. But there was no mention in the conversation of any corruption other than that believed by Trump of the Bidens.

Air Force Costs in the Wild Blue Yonder

The Air Force spent $326,785 since 2016 to keep replacing its special coffee mugs that can reheat fluids on refueling tankers and cargo aircraft while in fight. The mugs cost $1,280 apiece and break easily when dropped. Other than the outlandish cost, there is also the unanswered question of why what we calculate to be 255 mugs were dropped.

Enriched by Tax Cuts, CEOs of 181 Major Corporations Decide They’d Better Atone

For decades in America, corporations have followed the precept set down by the University of Chicago school of economists, led by Nobel recipient Milton Friedman, that the sole calling of a corporation is to maximize value for its shareholders. That profit at all cost

could lead to a welter of harm and hardship to people and the environment were unfortunate but must not be allowed to interfere with that goal.

In words if not yet in deeds, that changed abruptly when the Business Roundtable, its membership the chief executive officers of large U.S. corporations, took full-page ads in the major newspapers to issue a “Statement of the Purpose of a Corporation”, prefaced by reminders that freedom, liberty, and a free market economy have been a “critical engine” to the nation’s success. The new doctrine bore the signatures of 181 CEOs of major companies from a cross-section of industry such as of Apple, JPMorgan Chase, Pfizer, United Airlines, Salesforce, SAP, BlackRock, Honeywell, and ConocoPhillips.

The Statement consists of five commitments, two of which are taken up by what one would think are nothing new — “Delivering value to our Customers” and “Generating long-term value for Shareholders”, unless “long-term” deliberately signals a shift away from the obsession with quarterly profits. The others pledge ethical and fair dealing with suppliers, protecting the environment of local communities, and investing in employees with fair compensation, benefits, and training. There is no mention of unions.

To serve only its investors — what it called “shareholder primacy” — has been the Roundtable’s official position since 1997. So what explains the sudden volte-face by the business community that corporations should change their outlook and look for ways to better benefit all with whom they deal? The ad mentions that “many Americans are struggling”, that “too often hard work is not rewarded”, and that “the rapid pace of change” is leaving workers behind, but more factors than those have been building, primary among them the discontent with huge disparities in wealth between those at the top and the rest. There is the disillusionment with a culture that demands a college education for employment only to leave us with a lifetime of student loan debt, a worry that robots and now artificial intelligence will take our jobs, and the fear that climate change is going to make life more unpredictable and dangerous. Then, too, the newer generations, put off by the greed of corporate management, have developed an attraction for socialism over capitalism as a scheme they believe better contributes to the good of society.

Surely the corporate capitalists weren’t responding to Elizabeth Warren, although she got the drop on them a year ago when she introduced the Accountable Capitalism Act, its premise being that corporations that claim the legal rights of personhood should be legally required to accept the moral obligations of personhood. Corporations are treated as persons under the law so that they can sue and be sued, but their personhood was extended by a good measure when the Supreme Court in 2014 decided in favor of the Hobby Lobby corporation, giving that family-owned business a special exemption from paying for insurance for employees that includes contraceptives. Doing so, went the plaintiffs argument, offended the religious sensitivities of the corporation. You read that correctly.

And the notion that corporations owe to society hearkens back to a 2012 kerfuffle when, campaigning against Mitt Romney, President Obama gaffed, “If you’ve got a business — you didn’t build that. Somebody else made that happen”. It was inartfully phrased but part of a full talk on the subject. A bit of its context made clear his meaning:

“If you were successful, somebody along the line gave you some help. There was a great teacher somewhere in your life. Somebody helped to create this unbelievable American system that we have that allowed you to thrive. Somebody invested in roads and bridges. If you’ve got a business — you didn’t build that. Somebody else made that happen.”

Nevertheless, the Romney campaign posted a 15-second video that showed the president saying five times over, “If you’ve got a business — you didn’t build that”.

ramifications

The new socially conscious dedication is certainly welcome, but raises many questions. If a company decides to close a plant and move production offshore, how will its CEO make the case that this somehow supports the community that the corporation is abandoning? Will these businesses continue to hire lobbyists to press for legislation and fund politicians who will do their bidding when benefits to the corporation may mean harm to the nation? Will they continue to contribute to superPACs, or honorably refuse to participate in this execrable perversion of democracy? Will they withdraw harmful products from the market? Will they end the tax avoidance maneuvers of shifting profits offshore and pay more into this country’s coffers, or is that too broad a definition of “communities in which we work”? Do all of them have the consent of their boards or will their directors, wary of stockholder suits, have quite a different take? Will they adopt the German plan of having a worker representative join those boards?

Many questions. A big one is what will they do about their own pay packages? The usual compensation plan is a mix of annual performance bonus, stock options, incentive targets geared to short term results and the stock’s price, and outright grants of stock often linked to performance over typically three years. Does the manifesto’s quiet mention of “generating long-term value for shareholders” mean not only will these CEOs steer away from satisfying Wall Street’s insatiable demand for short-term gains but also realign compensation to long-term results such as 10-year time frames?

skepticism entitled

Considering the staggering amounts paid to so many CEOs and their upper management and what that has done to increase America’s income inequality, it is reasonable to question whether they’ve had a sudden epiphany on the road to Damascus or whether this is little more that a public relations ploy to deflect negative publicity of their own avarice. After all, they’ve only come to this turning point after they’ve had their boards serve up ever-increasing pay packages for years, and for many the value of the stock holdings in their companies has been boosted by buybacks. More on that in a moment.

Just last year, the biggest 500 corporations in the U.S set total CEO pay records for the fourth year in a row, with compensation at the median registering $12.4 million. The median of the 200 highest-paid CEOs in America was $18.6 million, up by $1.1 million or 6.3% from the year before. That’s twice the 3.2% increase enjoyed by the average American worker. Their pay went up by 84 cents an hour. CEO pay went up by more like $500 an hour. The median CEO got $1.5 million every month.

We cite median because Elon Musk made average pay unusable. He got $2.284 billion in 2018. The new disclosure rule that requires CEO pay to be compared with that of its employees revealed that Musk was paid 40,668 times what the median Tesla worker gets.

That list above of corporations whose CEOs are Roundtable members? As a sampling, here’s what they were paid in total in 2018 — cash, stock, etc.:

the buyback bonanza

Beyond these lavish compensation arrangements, many of the CEOs of the Roundtable and their directors have added a favorite source of enrichment, launching the biggest stock buyback campaigns we’ve yet seen. Not only was the corporate tax rate slashed from 35% to 21% beginning last year, but companies were given further tax discounts to induce them to return an estimated $2.6 trillion of profits held overseas — tax rates of 15.5% for cash and 8% for less liquid assets. So corporations have been awash with cash. The stock buyback surge started earlier than the tax cuts — since 2013 companies have poured $4.2 trillion into buybacks — but it peaked last year with $1 trillion authorized by corporate boards.

Your corporate finance textbook will say that a stock buyback is merely returning money to investors, “a natural function of capital markets”, says Dimon of JPMorgan Chase. “The money doesn’t vanish”, says Lloyd Blankfein, the former chief of investment bank Goldman Sachs. “It gets reinvested in higher growth businesses that boost the economy and jobs”. The Wall Street Journal‘s editorial page says everyone needs a “refresher course” that “repurchasing shares is simply one way a company can return cash to owners if it lacks better ideas for investment”.

Well and good, but our point is that major corporation CEOs have been a self-serving lot in a number of ways, so there’s a back story to buybacks.

First, they’ve become favorites for CEOs and their directors because shareholders pay tax only on profit, if any, and that at low capital gains rates, whereas the full amount of dividends, the more traditional way to reward investors, are taxed as ordinary income. If those of the Roundtable CEOs who engineered buybacks were concerned for the general good, why the choice of the lowest tax route to return capital to shareholders?

CEOs and directors have been served up with large portions of stock as often the biggest slice of their compensation. In a buyback, look what magically happens to their stock holdings. A buyback reduces the number of shares at large. Thus, the unchanged value of the company is divided among fewer shares, increasing the value of each share. The market sees the earnings per share rise — a key metric — and bids up the value of each share held by those corporate officers. Additionally, the mere announcement of a buyback causes the share price to rise in anticipation, and those CEOs and directors often unload big chunks of their own stock. Their decision to have their company buy back its own shares is a vote for their own gain.

As the Journal says, a company may see little else to do with the money. There is a growing malaise that says that may be a more general condition than we’d like to admit. Robert Gordon’s 2017 book, “The Rise and Fall of American Growth”, brought that harshly to light, arguing that after a century of extraordinary invention and development — from electric lighting to color television on giant screens, from Model T autos to supersonic jets — there may not be much left. That’s debatable, of course. But we don’t make things, and what is there new to make anyway that has the potential of universal public take-up, like the smartphones which are reaching their peak?

The Internet giants — Facebook, Google, Twitter, etc. — are all almost entirely supported by the advertising of others. Big popular successes lose breathtaking amounts of money — Uber, WeWork, others. Corporations see this and perhaps have become too risk-averse to attempt what could be next, with the result summed up in Peter Theil’s quip, “We wanted flying cars, instead we got 140 characters”.

So some CEOs may have been doing the responsible thing by returning money to shareholders, but unless you subscribe to the nothing left to do ethos, others have been short-changing their companies’ prospects by draining billions in capital from their balance sheets, thereby threatening the competitive prospects of American industry.

Or, instead of buybacks, they might have done more — permanent pay raises instead of one-time bonuses, paid sick leave, child care subsidies — for those employees that they now profess to be so concerned about in their proclamation.

Media Mayhem: Competition Leaves Consumers with a Scattered Mess

This page doesn’t pay much attention to entertainment media, but the ability to get away from Trump World for a little respite is under threat. The “content providers” have embarked on their own trade war, fragmenting the video world into ever smaller pieces of declining interest. It’s such a frenzy that we now read they are creating action thrillers for smartphones to be serialized in 10-minute bites.

First, there was Blockbuster, displaced by Netflix, which served up movies on DVDs sent through the mail.

That didn’t disturb the cable/dish world all that much. But then Netflix switched to streaming, leaving their founding DVD customers behind to pick among the scraps, and Netflix’s success spawned entry by Hulu, then Amazon, then CBS, all now spending literally billions to produce their own exclusive and mostly forgettable content, greenlighting just about every pitch that comes along to fill their insatiable maws. And by about this time next year, AT&T’s WarnerMedia Division, Comcast’s NBC Universal, Walt Disney, and Apple have plans to join the fray. That makes eight so far, plus whatever dish/cable we need to hang onto for basic content or delivery.

Fundamental principles have come unlearned.

1. Consumes like economy. All of these services, presumably, either do or intend to charge for subscriptions — monthly hits to our credit cards. They must assume that we don’t have the money to buy into all of them, so they must think we’re going to choose theirs. Take Hulu for instance. We might wish only to see “Handmaid’s Tale”, but Hulu wants us to subscribe, pay a monthly charge only to find a channel stuffed with TV sitcom re-runs, unheard-of movies, and add-ons for extra fees. And to see other material we’re expected to sign up with Netflix, Amazon Prime — all of them for their “thousands of movies and shows” just to get at the few that we want. Pretty soon it’s just as expensive as cable or satellite whose cord we’ve been cutting.

2. Consumers like convenience. It was once true, certainly in Europe, that to get the ingredients to make dinner entailed making half a dozen stops: the butcher, the baker for bread and dessert, the green grocer, the dry goods grocer, the wine merchant, the shop with milk, butter and cheese. Then someone thought “this is ridiculous” and the supermarket was born. That’s what people like, the ability to find everything in one place. In their furious competitive scramble, these so-called services are blowing up centralized distribution, scattering the remnants like pot shards. Now we will find ourselves having to keep track of where to find programs and movies we’ve read about, having to enter IDs and passwords every time we switch from one to the other. Who needs this mishegas?

Our prediction: watch it all come tumbling down in a couple of years time. Hopefully it will coalesce into a last-one-standing superprovider where we can find everything again.